Skip to main content
Advertisement

Main menu

  • Home
  • Content
    • Current Volume
    • AJEV and Catalyst Archive
    • Best Papers
    • ASEV National Conference Technical Abstracts
    • Print on Demand
  • Information For
    • Authors
    • Open Access Publishing
    • AJEV Preprint and AI Software Policy
    • Submission
    • Subscribers
      • Proprietary Rights Notice for AJEV Online
    • Permissions and Reproductions
  • About Us
  • Feedback
  • Alerts
  • Help
  • Login
  • ASEV MEMBER LOGIN

User menu

  • Log in

Search

  • Advanced search
American Journal of Enology and Viticulture
  • Log in
  • Follow ajev on Twitter
  • Follow ajev on Linkedin
American Journal of Enology and Viticulture

Advanced Search

  • Home
  • Content
    • Current Volume
    • AJEV and Catalyst Archive
    • Best Papers
    • ASEV National Conference Technical Abstracts
    • Print on Demand
  • Information For
    • Authors
    • Open Access Publishing
    • AJEV Preprint and AI Software Policy
    • Submission
    • Subscribers
    • Permissions and Reproductions
  • About Us
  • Feedback
  • Alerts
  • Help
  • Login
  • ASEV MEMBER LOGIN
Research Article

A High-Resolution Cumulative Degree Day-Based Model to Simulate Phenological Development of Grapevine

Daniel Molitor, Jürgen Junk, Danièle Evers, Lucien Hoffmann, Marco Beyer
Am J Enol Vitic.  2014  65: 72-80  ; DOI: 10.5344/ajev.2013.13066
Daniel Molitor
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Find this author on ADS search
  • Find this author on Agricola
  • Search for this author on this site
  • For correspondence: dmolitor@lippmann.lu
Jürgen Junk
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Find this author on ADS search
  • Find this author on Agricola
  • Search for this author on this site
Danièle Evers
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Find this author on ADS search
  • Find this author on Agricola
  • Search for this author on this site
Lucien Hoffmann
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Find this author on ADS search
  • Find this author on Agricola
  • Search for this author on this site
Marco Beyer
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Find this author on ADS search
  • Find this author on Agricola
  • Search for this author on this site
  • Article
  • Figures & Data
  • Info & Metrics
  • PDF
Loading

Abstract

Common cumulative degree day models used to forecast grape growth stages often are only of local validity, restricted to a limited number of phenological stages, or do not take into consideration that the forcing effect of temperature is limited at higher temperatures. A new model was developed to simulate all 26 phenological stages (according to the BBCH scheme; Biologische Bundesanstalt, Bundessortenamt und Chemische Industrie) of Vitis vinifera L. Müller-Thurgau between budburst and harvest. Sixty time series of grape phenology from four European countries were used to set up and validate the model. Three cumulative degree day models (starting with budburst: BBCH 09) with one, two, or three optimized temperature threshold values were compared. The incorporation of an upper threshold temperature, above which a further increase of the temperature will not accelerate plant development, and of a heat threshold, above which a further increase of the temperature leads to a development deceleration, significantly improved the accuracy of the model compared to previous cumulative degree day approaches. The threshold triplet 5ºC, 20ºC, and 22ºC for lower (base), upper, and heat threshold temperature, respectively, allowed the most precise forecast. In 70.5 or 95.8% of the cases, phenological stages were correctly predicted in 3 or 7 days (assuming daily mean temperatures of 20ºC), respectively, around the predicted cumulative degree day. The model can be used for a range of applications in viticultural research and practical viticulture and could further be parameterized for other varieties.

  • cumulative degree days
  • grapevine
  • growth stages
  • phenology
  • plant development
  • temperature thresholds
  • Vitis vinifera L
  • ©2014 by the American Society for Enology and Viticulture
View Full Text

Sign in for ASEV members

ASEV Members, please sign in at ASEV to access the journal online.

Sign in for Institutional and Non-member Subscribers

Log in using your username and password

Forgot your user name or password?

Pay Per Article - You may access this article (from the computer you are currently using) for 2 day for US$10.00

Regain Access - You can regain access to a recent Pay per Article purchase if your access period has not yet expired.

Forgot your user name or password?

PreviousNext
Back to top

Vol 65 Issue 1

  • Table of Contents
  • Table of Contents (PDF)
  • Index by author
View full PDF
Email Article

Thank you for your interest in spreading the word on AJEV.

NOTE: We only request your email address so that the person you are recommending the page to knows that you wanted them to see it, and that it is not junk mail. We do not capture any email address.

Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas.
A High-Resolution Cumulative Degree Day-Based Model to Simulate Phenological Development of Grapevine
(Your Name) has forwarded a page to you from AJEV
(Your Name) thought you would like to read this article from the American Journal of Enology and Viticulture.
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
Citation Tools
You have accessRestricted access
A High-Resolution Cumulative Degree Day-Based Model to Simulate Phenological Development of Grapevine
Daniel Molitor, Jürgen Junk, Danièle Evers, Lucien Hoffmann, Marco Beyer
Am J Enol Vitic.  2014  65: 72-80  ; DOI: 10.5344/ajev.2013.13066
Daniel Molitor
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • For correspondence: dmolitor@lippmann.lu
Jürgen Junk
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Danièle Evers
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Lucien Hoffmann
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Marco Beyer
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site

Citation Manager Formats

  • BibTeX
  • Bookends
  • EasyBib
  • EndNote (tagged)
  • EndNote 8 (xml)
  • Medlars
  • Mendeley
  • Papers
  • RefWorks Tagged
  • Ref Manager
  • RIS
  • Zotero

Share
You have accessRestricted access
A High-Resolution Cumulative Degree Day-Based Model to Simulate Phenological Development of Grapevine
Daniel Molitor, Jürgen Junk, Danièle Evers, Lucien Hoffmann, Marco Beyer
Am J Enol Vitic.  2014  65: 72-80  ; DOI: 10.5344/ajev.2013.13066
Daniel Molitor
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • For correspondence: dmolitor@lippmann.lu
Jürgen Junk
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Danièle Evers
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Lucien Hoffmann
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Marco Beyer
1Centre de Recherche Public–Gabriel Lippmann, Department Environment and Agro-Biotechnologies (EVA), 41, rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
del.icio.us logo Twitter logo Facebook logo Mendeley logo
  • Tweet Widget
  • Facebook Like
  • Google Plus One
Save to my folders

Jump to section

  • Article
    • Abstract
    • Materials and Methods
    • Results
    • Discussion
    • Conclusion
    • Acknowledgments
    • Footnotes
    • Literature Cited
  • Figures & Data
  • Info & Metrics
  • PDF

Related Articles

Cited By...

More from this TOC section

  • Diversity of Wild Yeasts During Spontaneous Fermentation of Wines from Local Grape Varieties in Turkey
  • Bioprotective Effect of Pichia kluyveri and Lactiplantibacillus plantarum in Winemaking Conditions
  • Vine Age Affects Vine Performance, Grape and Wine Chemical and Sensory Composition of cv. Zinfandel from California
Show more Research Article

Similar Articles

AJEV Content

  • Current Volume
  • Archive
  • Best Papers
  • ASEV National Conference Technical Abstracts
  • Print on Demand

Information For

  • Authors
  • Open Access Publishing
  • AJEV Preprint and AI Software Policy
  • Submission
  • Subscribers
  • Permissions and Reproductions

Other

  • Home
  • About Us
  • Feedback
  • Help
  • Alerts
  • ASEV
asev.org

© 2025 American Society for Enology and Viticulture.  ISSN 0002-9254.

Powered by HighWire