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Research Report

Evaluating the Economic Viability of Regenerative Viticulture in Sonoma County, California

View ORCID ProfileAxel Herrera, View ORCID ProfileEllen M. Bruno, View ORCID ProfileKerri Steenwerth, Alexandra Everson, View ORCID ProfileCristina Lazcano
Am J Enol Vitic.  2026  77: 0770002  ; DOI: 10.5344/ajev.2025.25007
Axel Herrera
1Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA;
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  • For correspondence: axherrera{at}ucdavis.edu
Ellen M. Bruno
2Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, CA;
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Kerri Steenwerth
1Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA;
3USDA-ARS, Crops and Pathology and Genetics Research Unit, Davis, CA;
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Alexandra Everson
4Jackson Family Wines, 425 Aviation Boulevard, Santa Rosa, CA.
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Cristina Lazcano
1Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA;
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  • Figure 1
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    Figure 1

    Location of the four vineyards studied and the main American Viticultural Areas (AVAs) in Sonoma County, CA. Map generated using QGIS geographic information system software (ver. 3.36.0-Maidenhead; QGIS Development Team).

  • Figure 2
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    Figure 2

    Comparison of cost distribution per hectare along A) capital expenditures (CAPEX) and B) operating expenses (OPEX) for the conventional viticulture (CV) and regenerative agriculture (RA) management scenarios. “Indirect cost” includes property taxes, insurance, maintenance and repairs, and capital recovery costs.

  • Figure 3
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    Figure 3

    Annual net cash flows over a 30-yr vineyard lifespan, comparing in-house and outsourced regenerative agriculture (RA) scenarios relative to a conventional viticulture (CV) baseline, expressed for a 4-ha vineyard. Net present value (NPV) was calculated at a 2.5% discount rate. In-house RA produced a positive NPV ($2227 total; $557/ha), while outsourced RA resulted in a negative NPV (−$7024 total; −$1756/ha). In-house benefits include year-1 equipment savings ($9000), indirect benefits rising to $4142/yr, waste-disposal savings ($1344/yr), and lamb/mutton sales ($1200 to $1800/yr), partly offset by composting and sheep operating expenses and periodic compost cover replacement. Cash flow fluctuations reflect variation in lamb sales (four to six animals per year) and the 3-yr compost cover cycle. Outsourced RA shares the same equipment savings and indirect benefits but carries recurring compost purchase and grazing service costs, without revenues from livestock or waste-management savings (see Tables 3, 5, and 6).

Tables

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  • Table 1

    Main characteristics of the four vineyards studied under conventional viticulture (CV) and regenerative agriculture (RA) management. Soil type taxonomies were taken from the USDA-NRCS Web Soil Survey (https://websoilsurvey.nrcs.usda.gov/app/). Yield was averaged from 2 yr (2022 to 2023) and average yield prices were taken from the 2022 and 2023 California Grape Crush Reports (CDFA 2023b, 2024). Weed control (under-vine mechanical with a Clemens side weed knife) was performed at a 5- to 10-cm till depth, one to three times per year (spring and summer); herbicides were applied two to three times per year. Mowing occurred only in alleyways, during spring (April to May) then during summer (July to August). Synthetic fertilizers were used in the same amount and form as in the CV scenarios. AVA, American Viticultural Area; Mg, Megagram.

    CharacteristicsScenarios
    CV1aCV2aCV3aCV4aRA (1 to 4)
    Grape cultivarPinot noirChardonnayCabernet SauvignonChardonnaySameb
    CloneDijon 667FPS04 Martini337FPS04 MartiniSame
    AVARussian River ValleyRussian River ValleyAlexander ValleyRussian River ValleySame
    Soil typeYolo silt loamcYolo clay loamcPositas gravelly loamdYolo sandy loameSame
    Rootstockf101-14140-R101-145CSame
    Planted area (ha)2.046.134.1113.6Same
    Vine age (years)1162334Same
    Vine density (vines/ha)5382358830761122Same
    Yield average (Mg/ha)11.619.37.039.7Same
    Price average per Mg ($)3750250030002500Same
    Trellis systemGuyotGuyotScott HenryQuadrilateral cordonSame
    Crop management
    Soil tillageAlternate
    (Rototiller)
    Alternate
    (Disk)
    Alternate
    (Disk)
    Alternate
    (Disk)
    No-till
    Weed controlHerbicides and mechanical controlHerbicides and mechanical controlHerbicides onlyHerbicides and mechanical controlMechanical control only
    MowingTwice/yearTwice/yearTwice/yearTwice/yearNo mowing
    Nutrient managementSynthetic fertilizersSynthetic fertilizersSynthetic fertilizersSynthetic fertilizersCompost and fertilizersg
    Cover croppinghForage mixForage mixForage mixForage mixSheep forage mix
    Livestock integrationNoneNoneNoneNoneSheep grazing
    (two events/year)
    • ↵aCV, vineyards employing practices that support soil health, in line with certification requirements of the California Sustainable Winegrowing Alliance.

    • ↵bIndicates the same characteristic across respective site numbers (e.g., Pinot noir for both CV1 and RA1, Chardonnay for both CV2 and RA2, etc.).

    • ↵cFine-silty, mixed, superactive, nonacid, thermic Mollic Xerofluvents.

    • ↵dFine, montmorillonitic, thermic Mollic Palexeralfs.

    • ↵eFine-loamy, mixed, thermic Fluventic Haploxerolls.

    • ↵fVitis parentage by rootstock: 101-14 (Vitis riparia × Vitis rupestris), 140-R (Vitis berlandieri × V. rupestris), and 5C (V. berlandieri × V. riparia).

    • ↵gSynthetic fertilizers were used in the same amount and form as in the conventional scenarios.

    • ↵hForage seed mix: generally white clover, annual barley, and rye, applied at a rate of 67 kg/ha; sheep forage seed mix: 1% Campeda Subclover, 2% Hykon Rose Clover, 2% Dwarf Essex Rape, 23% Austrian Winter Peas, 35% Winter Ryegrain, and 35% Triticale, all applied at a rate of 112 kg/ha.

  • Table 2

    Summary of the monetized cost and revenue components considered in the study for the four vineyards. Details and explanations of the value sources are presented in Appendix 2.

    CostsMonetary value per ha ($)Years of occurrence
    LowHigh
    Vineyard establishment
    Landa100,000.00150,000.001
    Soil preparation1000.002000.001
    Herbicides300.00600.001
    Fertilizers6000.0010,000.001
    Vine planting7853.0032,291.681
    Irrigation system10,000.0050,000.001
    Trellis system26,984.7545,509.751
    Equipment200,000.00400,000.001
    Vineyard operation
    Herbicides0.00300.002 to 30
    Mowing0.00380.002 to 30
    Tilling0.00400.002 to 30
    Fertilizers450.001000.002 to 30
    Undervine management200.00370.002 to 30
    Pesticides600.001500.002 to 30
    Irrigation500.001000.002 to 30
    General labor11,856.0023,712.002 to 30
    Compost purchased with delivery1000.001500.002 to 30
    Sheep grazing (two events per year)400.00500.002 to 30
    Cover crop seed and planting40.00300.001 to 30
    Property taxes800.001400.001 to 30
    Insurance600.001000.001 to 30
    Sanitation services197.60300.001 to 30
    Investment repairs450.002500.001 to 30
    Offices expenses370.50500.001 to 30
    Capital recovery cost2000.004000.001 to 30
    Revenue
    Winegrape production22,600.0072,375.003 to 30
    • ↵aLand purchase costs are based on minimum values and trends for plantable land in Sonoma County (Combs et al. 2022).

  • Table 3

    Parameters influencing cost and benefits per hectare in the outsourced regenerative agriculture (RA) scenario compared to the conventional viticulture (CV) scenario. VM, vineyard manager; Mg, Megagram.

    ParameterCost ($)Benefit ($)Year of occurrenceDescriptionSource
    Mower-12,500.001Savings on equipment that are not required when integrating sheep grazing.VM
    Disk implement-10,000.001Savings on equipment that are not needed when reducing soil disturbance.VM
    Compost spreader13,500.00-1One-time investment for equipment to broadcast compost in the vineyard.VM
    Cover crop seed113.60-1 to 30Cost difference between the forage mix used in the CV scenario and the sheep mix required in the RA scenario.VM
    Compost acquisition840.00-2 to 309.88 Mg applied per ha. Costs include trucking. Increases operational costs by 67% of RA-specific costs.VM
    Compost application50.00-2 to 30Cost associated to broadcasting the compost in the vineyard.VM
    Sheep grazing events444.60-2 to 30A single sheep grazing event lasts 3 to 5 days by a 20-sheep flock in 0.4 ha. Two events were considered in the year. These events explain the 28% of RA-specific costs.VM
    Nutrient inputs (compost)-253.202 to 30Fertilizer nutrient value by considering its N, P, and K nutrient content, and their equivalent from the commodity prices on commercial fertilizers.Coker et al. 2022, Estimateda
    Nutrient inputs (manure)-18.102 to 30Based on the amount of manure delivered by sheep per day (5% of its body weight), and its fertilizer nutrient value (N, P, K content).Moreno-Caselles et al. 2002, Ogejo et al. 2010, Marzi et al. 2020, Coker et al. 2022, Estimateda
    Soil erosion control-48.002 to 30Vineyards with permanent cover crop and no-till show average soil reduction losses of 1.8 Mg/ha/yr (74 to 91%).Robinson et al. 2014, Biddoccu et al. 2020
    Carbon credits (compost)-64.202 to 30Average carbon sequestration value of compost per Mg, $3.98 to $9.20.Coker et al. 2022
    Carbon credits (manure)-2.102 to 30Studies show a 5.3% increase in carbon over 10 yr in topsoil when permanent rotational grazing is adopted. Therefore, an increase of 1049 kg C/ha (5.3%) in 10 yr was estimated.Wiltshire and Beckage 2022, Estimateda
    No herbicides-170.002 to 30Savings on chemicals and spray costs.VM
    No mowing-240.002 to 30Savings on labor and equipment maintenance costs.VM
    No tilling-240.002 to 30Saving on labor and equipment maintenance costs.VM
    • ↵aMore information can be found in Appendix 2.

  • Table 4

    Comparative economic analysis of 1 ha for the conventional (CV) and regenerative (RA) management scenarios in the four vineyards studied over 30 yr. Mg, Megagram; NPV, net present value over 30 yr.

    Vineyard (grape)Density (vines/ha)Yield (Mg/ha)Price ($/Mg)ScenarioInitial investment ($)Annual operating costs ($)Annual revenue ($)NPVa ($)NPV changeb (%)
    Vineyard 1
    (Pinot noir)
    538211.63750CV1
    RA1
    260,043
    257,396
    23,573
    23,908
    43,500
    43,500
    134,372
    128,130
    -4.6
    Vineyard 2
    (Chardonnay)
    358819.32500CV2
    RA2
    250,440
    247,793
    19,370
    19,705
    48,250
    48,250
    312,724
    306,630
    -1.9
    Vineyard 3
    (Cabernet Sauvignon)
    30767.033000CV3
    RA3
    227,659
    226,148
    17,919
    18,237
    21,090
    21,090
    -140,605
    -147,441
    -4.9
    Vineyard 4
    (Chardonnay)
    11229.72500CV4
    RA4
    207,515
    205,874
    11,530
    11,768
    24,250
    24,250
    60,731
    55,622
    -8.4
    • ↵aCalculation of NPV for RA scenarios assumes composting and sheep flock are outsourced.

    • ↵bPercentage difference in NPV between CV and RA scenarios, calculated as the relative change with CV as the baseline.

  • Table 5

    Costs and benefits of in-house compost production of 20 Megagrams (Mg)/yr for four 4-ha vineyards. VM, vineyard manager; CAPEX, initial capital expenditures.

    CategoryCost ($)Benefit ($)Year of occurrenceDescriptionSource
    Initial costs
    Turner8000-1Main equipment required to mix the composting materials. Assuming secondhand equipment.VM
    Utility tractor - front loader5000-1This assumed tractor from vineyard can be used; only front loader implement would be required.VM
    Thermometers400-1Four units. Temperature monitoring.VM
    Plastic80-Every 3 yrCompost pile cover, periodic replacement.VM
    Total initial costs13,480-1
    Annual operating costs
    Labor1680-3 to 30Management and maintenance of compost (e.g., monitoring, turning, mixing, and adding water): 4 hr once per week for 5 to 6 mo.VM
    Resourcesa140-3 to 30Mainly water and chicken manure. Additional organic matter if required.VM
    Equipment maintenance60-3 to 30Tools and machinery.VM
    Total annual operating costs1880-3 to 30
    Annual benefits
    Waste management-13443 to 30Savings on waste fee disposal from Zero Waste Sonoma (e.g., yard debris): $112/Mg, and assuming 30% biomass discarded from winegrape.Zero Waste 2024b
    Total annual benefits-13443 to 30
    Net annual cash flow---$1344 - $1880 = -$536/year (Non-CAPEX years)
    • ↵aScreening to finish size (to achieve homogeneity in compost) was not considered, which can increase cost by up to 40%.

    • ↵bhttps://zerowastesonoma.gov/disposal-options/central-disposal-site-transfer-stations-fee-schedule.

  • Table 6

    Costs and benefits for in-house sheep grazing integration in a 4-ha vineyard. VM, vineyard manager; CAPEX, initial capital expenditures.

    CategoryCosts ($)Benefits ($)Year of occurrenceDescriptionSource
    Initial costs
    Purchase of Dorper sheep (10-sheep flock)4000-1Range for commercial crosses are ~$300 to $500 per head. Pure breeds (e.g., South African) can cost ~$2000 to $3000.VM
    Setup costs6000-1Core infrastructure (fencing, shelter, dog).VM
    Total initial costsa10,000-1Assuming 1 ha would require 2 to 3 sheep to be grazed whole year. Thus, a 10-sheep flock for a 4-ha vineyard was considered.-
    Annual operating costs
    Administrative/management laborb1200-2 to 30Depending on flock size, a herder is needed. A full-time herder can operate a flock of 500 ewes.Finzel et al. 2022, VM
    Fencing and shelter maintenance100-2 to 30Annual maintenance for fencing, shelter, and watering systems.VM
    Guard dog1200-2 to 30$100 is the maintenance cost per month for food and medical care.Finzel et al. 2022
    Veterinary and health care1000-2 to 30Veterinary care includes purchased feed (salts and minerals). Cost is ~$100 per head.Salinas-Martínez et al. 2022, VM
    Total annual operating costs3500-2 to 30For a 10-sheep flock.-
    Annual benefits
    Income from meat-1200 to 18002 to 30At 4 mo, lambs can weigh ~36 to 38 kg. The cost of meat can vary from $4 to $8/kg. Assuming Dorper ewe can lamb three times in 2 yr. An older Dorper is sold as mutton, earning similar per-head prices because of their larger meat quantity.Salinas-Martínez et al. 2022, Knight and Taylor 2024, VM
    Total annual benefits-1200 to 18002 to 30Assuming the flock will breed at among 4 to 6 lambs per year, sold at $300 per head.-
    Net annual cash flow---$1200 - $1800 - $3500 = -$2300 to -$1700/yr (Non-CAPEX years).-
    • ↵aFreight costs are not included because of the small flock size. A small trailer could add ~$5000 to $8000 to the initial cost.

    • ↵bGiven the small flock size, herding costs are expected to be minimal. Therefore, no dedicated herder is required and the VM can manage most tasks.

  • Table 7

    Net present value (NPV) comparison for different yield and price scenarios across the four vineyards studied (Optimistic, minor yield declines and higher prices; Pessimistic, larger yield reductions and lower prices). Reported values are the differences in NPV between regenerative agriculture (RA) under each scenario and the conventional viticulture baseline calculated in Table 4. The RA scenario refers to the outsourced implementation. Bold text highlights the only scenario with a positive profit.

    ScenarioYield decrease (%)Price variation (%)NPV ($) Vineyard 1: Pinot noirNPV ($) Vineyard 2: ChardonnayNPV ($) Vineyard 3: Cabernet SauvignonNPV ($) Vineyard 4: Chardonnay
    Baseline00-6242-6095-6835-5109
    Optimistic-102058,27265,46424,44330,856
    Optimistic  I-2020-38,499-41,874-22,474-23,091
    Moderate-200-167,528-184,992-85,031-95,021
    Moderate  I-105-50,596-55,292-28,339-29,834
    Moderate  II-55-8258-8331-7813-5989
    Pessimistic-30-10-304,620-337,055-151,497-171,446
    Pessimistic  I-40-20-425,585-471,227-210,144-238,880

Additional Files

  • Figures
  • Tables
  • Supplemental Table 1  Main inputs and outputs of initial data collected from interviews on the four vineyards studied. Q, quantity; EV, electric vehicle; UTV, utility terrain vehicle; ATV, all terrain vehicle; Mg, Megagram.

    Supplemental Table 2  Economic comparison of different discount rates (DR) and time horizon analysis of 1 ha for the conventional viticulture (CV) and regenerative agriculture (RA) management scenarios. Net present value (NPV) difference = RA − CV. The main analysis uses a 30-yr time horizon (see Equation 1), while this table includes additional time horizons and discount rate combinations to explore sensitivity. Mg, Megagram.

    Supplemental Table 3  Net present value (NPV) comparison across yield and price scenarios for four vineyards at a 4% discount rate (DR) and two time horizons (25 and 30 yr). Values represent the NPV difference between regenerative agriculture (RA) under each scenario (Optimistic, minor yield declines and higher prices; Pessimistic, larger yield reductions and lower prices) and the conventional viticulture (CV) baseline from Supplemental Table 2. Bold text highlights the only scenario with a positive profit.

    Appendix 1  Economic questionnaire: Cost-benefit analysis in vineyards using regenerative practices.

    Appendix 2  More information and sources on how the costs and benefits from the winegrape production systems were estimated.



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Evaluating the Economic Viability of Regenerative Viticulture in Sonoma County, California
View ORCID ProfileAxel Herrera, View ORCID ProfileEllen M. Bruno, View ORCID ProfileKerri Steenwerth, Alexandra Everson, View ORCID ProfileCristina Lazcano
Am J Enol Vitic.  2026  77: 0770002  ; DOI: 10.5344/ajev.2025.25007
Axel Herrera
1Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA;
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  • ORCID record for Axel Herrera
  • For correspondence: axherrera{at}ucdavis.edu
Ellen M. Bruno
2Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, CA;
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Kerri Steenwerth
1Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA;
3USDA-ARS, Crops and Pathology and Genetics Research Unit, Davis, CA;
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Alexandra Everson
4Jackson Family Wines, 425 Aviation Boulevard, Santa Rosa, CA.
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Cristina Lazcano
1Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA;
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  • ORCID record for Cristina Lazcano

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Evaluating the Economic Viability of Regenerative Viticulture in Sonoma County, California
View ORCID ProfileAxel Herrera, View ORCID ProfileEllen M. Bruno, View ORCID ProfileKerri Steenwerth, Alexandra Everson, View ORCID ProfileCristina Lazcano
Am J Enol Vitic.  2026  77: 0770002  ; DOI: 10.5344/ajev.2025.25007
Axel Herrera
1Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA;
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  • For correspondence: axherrera{at}ucdavis.edu
Ellen M. Bruno
2Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, CA;
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  • ORCID record for Ellen M. Bruno
Kerri Steenwerth
1Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA;
3USDA-ARS, Crops and Pathology and Genetics Research Unit, Davis, CA;
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Alexandra Everson
4Jackson Family Wines, 425 Aviation Boulevard, Santa Rosa, CA.
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Cristina Lazcano
1Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA;
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  • ORCID record for Cristina Lazcano
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